Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 9.728348 11.109993 12.626112 14.414574 16.468438 18.755421 21.498138
2025-12-07 7.909056 9.729105 11.884497 14.630416 18.043429 22.156236 27.503985
2025-12-14 6.746604 8.746077 11.245166 14.608179 19.031596 24.673519 32.451534
2025-12-21 5.876157 7.950979 10.661212 14.476247 19.734026 26.763113 36.936922
2025-12-28 5.429663 7.628137 10.613414 14.985802 21.265905 30.019820 43.252269
2026-01-04 5.020796 7.293802 10.488899 15.337895 22.565733 33.026792 49.472477
2026-01-11 4.720720 7.071382 10.482133 15.830460 24.080085 36.442625 56.598324
2026-01-18 4.240694 6.528979 9.944919 15.461047 24.235724 37.804493 60.668382
2026-01-25 3.857239 6.092645 9.519459 15.207564 24.521436 39.355981 65.142993
2026-02-01 3.527520 5.707235 9.133016 14.968583 24.788171 40.871054 69.664731
2026-02-08 3.236338 5.355940 8.766503 14.720139 25.000670 42.290745 74.126672
2026-02-15 2.973304 5.027032 8.405968 14.442974 25.126631 43.553885 78.404751
2026-02-22 2.892217 5.000912 8.552313 15.054426 26.862979 47.780673 88.479740
2026-03-01 2.751487 4.859175 8.487935 15.286819 27.940592 50.929223 96.879867
2026-03-08 2.583381 4.653982 8.293674 15.263334 28.539133 53.242547 103.901772
2026-03-15 2.414167 4.432315 8.050684 15.125241 28.902909 55.135337 110.269417
2026-03-22 2.354079 4.406224 8.160528 15.658629 30.596212 59.714125 122.478758
2026-03-29 2.275420 4.338208 8.185447 16.027211 31.993042 63.826708 134.134944
2026-04-05 2.220040 4.309912 8.282223 16.542869 33.726291 68.761125 148.025474
2026-04-12 2.061739 4.067747 7.945726 16.156133 33.566526 69.782399 153.512296
2026-04-19 1.930191 3.868932 7.679576 15.890774 33.635137 71.281180 160.197285
2026-04-26 1.810728 3.685682 7.430872 15.640604 33.711815 72.796992 167.061954
2026-05-03 1.699487 3.511194 7.187146 15.380536 33.742236 74.208398 173.816351